Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
22.4%
Draw
68.1%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.97
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
10.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).