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DHT: 01CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Stuttgart
22.2%
Draw
29.3%
Hoffenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Stuttgart

vs
1.62

Hoffenheim

Markets

BTTS70.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).