Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Ipswich
23.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Ipswich
vs
0.91
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).