Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Blackburn
31.0%
Draw
39.0%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Blackburn
vs
1.18
Derby
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).