Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Andorra
24.1%
Draw
21.0%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Andorra
vs
0.93
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).