Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Crawley Town
20.5%
Draw
42.9%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Crawley Town
vs
1.86
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).