Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Paris SG
24.1%
Draw
41.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Paris SG
vs
1.44
Lens
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).