Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Reggiana
30.5%
Draw
35.6%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Reggiana
vs
1.20
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).