Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.7%
FC Koln
9.1%
Draw
4.2%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
FC Koln
vs
0.76
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.1%
4-0
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
6.2%
5-1
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
1-1
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
4-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).