Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Oviedo
25.4%
Draw
21.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Oviedo
vs
0.87
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).