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17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Barnsley
19.6%
Draw
29.1%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Barnsley

vs
1.55

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS68.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
1-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).