Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Elche
25.6%
Draw
43.5%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Elche
vs
1.53
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).