Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Manchester City
24.5%
Draw
30.7%
Farnham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Manchester City
vs
1.22
Farnham Town
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).