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AHT: 11CSV

06 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Athens Kallithea
31.5%
Draw
32.0%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Athens Kallithea

vs
1.06

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).