Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Pisa
20.7%
Draw
10.9%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Pisa
vs
0.74
Bari
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).