Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Accrington
23.4%
Draw
17.1%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Accrington
vs
0.75
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).