Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Estoril
21.8%
Draw
22.5%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Estoril
vs
1.34
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).