Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Modena
31.4%
Draw
30.3%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Modena
vs
1.04
Como
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).