Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Castellon
20.1%
Draw
18.2%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Castellon
vs
1.06
Andorra
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).