Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.7%
Draw
2.5%
Chornomorets
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.39
Chornomorets
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
4-0
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
5-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
1-1
4.0%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
0-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).