Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Margate
26.1%
Draw
8.1%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Margate
vs
0.31
Welling United
Markets
BTTS19.8%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
25.5%
2-0
17.9%
0-0
17.6%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
7.5%
0-1
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
4-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
0-2
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).