Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Carrarese
27.7%
Draw
51.7%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Carrarese
vs
1.57
Monza
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).