Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Freiburg
27.7%
Draw
29.3%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Freiburg
vs
1.17
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).