Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Southend
21.1%
Draw
30.1%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Southend
vs
1.38
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).