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15 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.7%
Fylde
31.8%
Draw
34.5%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Fylde

vs
1.09

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).