Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
St Mirren
26.9%
Draw
25.3%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
St Mirren
vs
1.05
Livingston
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).