Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
M'gladbach
29.3%
Draw
29.6%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
M'gladbach
vs
1.09
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).