Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Sheffield United
25.5%
Draw
12.4%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Sheffield United
vs
0.61
Wigan
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).