Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Stuttgart
20.9%
Draw
18.2%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Stuttgart
vs
1.15
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).