Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Aldershot
21.9%
Draw
20.9%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Aldershot
vs
1.26
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).