Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Watford
27.0%
Draw
26.5%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Watford
vs
1.14
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).