Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Ternana
27.8%
Draw
21.4%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Ternana
vs
0.94
Avellino
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).