Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Wrexham
10.3%
Draw
3.6%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Wrexham
vs
0.56
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
4-0
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
5-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).