Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Osasuna
25.4%
Draw
26.0%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Osasuna
vs
1.10
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).