Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Eastleigh
23.6%
Draw
61.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Eastleigh
vs
1.87
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).