Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Amiens
16.0%
Draw
68.3%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Amiens
vs
2.53
Metz
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
0-3
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).