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24 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Norwich
27.8%
Draw
32.2%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Norwich

vs
1.26

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).