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DHT: 00

14 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.2%
Bristol City
26.6%
Draw
27.2%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Bristol City

vs
1.19

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).