Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Ajaccio
27.0%
Draw
30.3%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ajaccio
vs
0.96
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).