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AHT: 01CSV

17 Jan 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Empoli
30.8%
Draw
35.4%
Sudtirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Empoli

vs
1.18

Sudtirol

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).