Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Crewe
26.8%
Draw
32.8%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Crewe
vs
1.10
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).