Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Exeter
27.4%
Draw
25.7%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Exeter
vs
0.87
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).