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05 Nov 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Anderlecht
25.0%
Draw
49.9%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Anderlecht

vs
1.73

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).