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11 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
GAIS
33.6%
Draw
30.2%
IFK Göteborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

GAIS

vs
0.95

IFK Göteborg

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).