Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Parma
22.7%
Draw
12.6%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Parma
vs
0.75
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).