Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Millwall
30.5%
Draw
26.6%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Millwall
vs
0.96
Brentford
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).