Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Ath Bilbao
24.9%
Draw
13.3%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.59
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).