Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Spezia
26.5%
Draw
24.8%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Spezia
vs
1.14
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).