Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Altay
34.4%
Draw
16.8%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Altay
vs
0.72
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-1
15.4%
1-0
14.0%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).