Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Cardiff
12.6%
Draw
11.6%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Cardiff
vs
1.19
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
3.9%
4-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).